Analysis of the Jake Peavy trade …
A buddy of mine, David Cameron, who writes occasionally for the Wall Street Journal as well as Fangraphs.com and the website, USSMariner.com, has kindly provided some analysis on the Peavy trade. Dave knows his stuff people, I trust this information.
Here’s what Dave has to say about the haul of players the Padres received in the Peavy deal.
This was a good move for the Padres.
got one of the best fastballs (velocity and sink) in the minors, and
while his secondary stuff is bad/non-existant right now, there’s
certainly room for growth. His upside is pretty darn high. If he
deosn’t develop a good breaking ball and a change, he could still be a
shut down reliever.
Richard is a heavy sinker ball guy who is perfect for the National
League. His command is just okay and he struggles against right-handed
hitters, but his fastball gets a lot of groundbals and lefties can’t
touch him. He’s probably a back-end starter, but he’ll do a solid job
solidifying the end of the rotation for the next few years.
Russell is what Poreda will be if he doesn’t develop any secondary
stuff – a big power arm out of the bullpen who throws hard and has
improving command. He’s vulnerable against LH hitters, but at worst,
he’s a really good RH specialist out of the pen. If he can develop a
better curve ball, he could be a relief ace.
Carter is a good ways from the majors, and his numbers need to be
taken with a grain of salt considering his competition (no one in the
SAL can hit), but there’s some upside there. His fastball is just
average right now, but at 6’6, he’s got room for growth. A long term
project, but one that could turn into a solid starting pitcher with
Peavy’s a good pitcher, but he benefited quite a bit from Petco
Park, and Richard/Poreda/Russell should see the National League treat
them quite a bit better than the AL did. Getting out of Chicago’s band
box and away from the DH will improve all of their numbers, and at
worst, you have a nice #4 or #5 starter and two power relievers. At
best, you’ve got a potential mid-rotation innings eater, a
front-of-the-rotation kid, and a future closer, plus a nice long term
Definitely a good haul for Peavy. San Diego fans should be pleased.
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